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Abstract:
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Several shapes of cookie cutter function have been
used in weapon effectiveness analyses. Although it is perceived
that different cookie cutter shapes would lead to different
analysis results, little proof has been developed. This paper
investigates whether different cookie cutter shapes produce
different results of Monte Carlo simulations to determine the
probability of damage on area targets. Four cookie cutter shapes,
which are circle, ellipse, rectangle, and the actual shape of
weapon lethal zone, were employed in a case study on multiple
shots of artillery weapons against a uniform value target. The
Monte Carlo simulations were carried out on different number of
shots, targets, and weapon lethality data. Statistical analyses
were performed and it was suggested that the difference between
the results determined by different shapes of cookie cutter
function was statistically significant but the effect of the shapes of
cookie cutter function on the results was small. |